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Is India out of Iran’s friendship?

Is India out of Iran’s friendship?

UPSC CSE Mains Syllabus: GS-2-  Bilateral, regional and global groupings and agreements involving India and/or affecting India’s interests

In news:

Recent reports that Iran’s Transport and Urban Development Minister had launched the track laying programme for the 628 km long rail link between Chabahar and Zahidan last week sparked concerns that India was being excluded from the project. Iran has since clarified that it is not the case and India could join the project at a later stage. This keeps the door open for Ircon International Limited (IRCON) which has been associated with the project even as India continues with the development of Chabahar port.

Chabahar port on Iran’s Makran coast, just 1,000 km from Kandla, is well situated but road and rail links from Chabahar to Zahidan and then 200 km further on to Zaranj in Afghanistan, need to be built. With Iran under sanctions during the Ahmadinejad years (2005-13), there was little progress.

Moving forward:

  • Things moved forward after 2015 when sanctions on Iran eased with the signing of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or the Iran nuclear deal.
  • A memorandum of understanding (MoU) was signed with Iran during Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Tehran in 2016 to equip and operate two terminals at the Shahid Beheshti port as part of Phase I of the project.
  • Another milestone was the signing of the Trilateral Agreement on Establishment of International Transport and Transit Corridor between Afghanistan, Iran and India.

Progressive efforts by India:

IRCON had prepared engineering studies estimating that the 800 km long railway project would need an outlay of $1.6 billion.

Providing connectivity for Afghanistan through Iran in order to lessen its dependence on Karachi port has enjoyed support in Delhi, Kabul and Tehran since 2003.

Hence, India concentrated on the 220 km road to connect Zaranj to Delaram on the Herat highway. This was completed in 2008 at a cost of $150 million.

In addition to $85 million of capital investment, India also committed to provide a line of credit of $150 million for port container tracks. Phase I was declared operational in 2018 and India’s wheat shipments to Afghanistan have been using this route.

Rail-track project:

  • With regard to the rail-track project, a financing MoUwas signed under which India undertook to provide $500 million worth of rolling stock and signalling equipment including $150 million of steel rail tracks.
  • In fact, the railway tracks currently being laidare those supplied by IRCON. 
  • Iranian responsibility was for local works of land levelling and procurement.
  • The MoU between IRCON and Iran’s Construction and Development of Transportation Infrastructures Company (CDTIC) expired last year.

US Sanctions and waiver for India:

  • A special economic zone (SEZ) at Chabahar was planned but re-imposition of U.S. sanctions has slowed investments into the SEZ.
  • India was given a waiver from U.S. sanctions to continue cooperation on Chabahar as it contributed to Afghanistan’s development.
  • Despite the waiver, the project has suffered delays.
  • This is because of the time taken by the U.S. Treasury to clear the import of heavy equipment such as rail mounted gantry cranes, mobile harbour cranes, etc.
  • Weapons ban:
  • In May, the U.S. announced that it wanted the UN Security Council (UNSC) to continue the ban on Iranian acquisition of conventional weapons.
  • UNSC Resolution 2231was adopted in July 2015 by consensus to endorse the JCPOA and contains a five-year restriction on Iran’s importing conventional weapons. This ends on October 18.
  • Even though the U.S. unilaterally quit the JCPOA, it is threatening to invoke the automatic snapback of sanctions provisions of JCPOA.
  • The United Kingdom and France have criticised the U.S.’s duplicity.  But, they are unlikely to exercise a veto.
  • At the same time, Iran hopes that November may bring about a change in the White House that opens options for dialogue.

Iran has ambitious plans to extend the railway line from Zahidan to Mashad (about 1,000 km) and then another 150 km onwards to Sarakhs on the border with Turkmenistan. Another plan is to link it with the International North-South Transport Corridor towards Bandar Anzali on the Caspian Sea.

Iran’s difficulties:

  • It has been a tricky exercisefor India to navigate between the U.S. and Iran to keep the Chabahar project going.
  • Similarly, the Iranian administration has found it a difficult balancingact to manage the hardliners at home while coping with Trump administration’s policy of ‘maximum pressure’.
  • Russia and China are the only countries to veto the U.S.’s moves in the UNSC.
  • The recent action of Iran proves this.

Not all is well with China:

  • Iran may well be considering a long-term partnership with China, but Iranian negotiators are wary of growing Chinese mercantilist tendencies.
  • The Iran- China comprehensive, strategic partnership road maphas run into opposition in the Majlis.  
  • It is true that China has greater capacity to resist U.S. sanctions compared to India but Iran realises the advantage of working with its only partner that enjoys a sanctions waiver from U.S. for Chabahar since it provides connectivity for land-locked Afghanistan.

Shared values – India and Iran:

  • Iran and India also share an antipathy to a Taliban takeover in Afghanistan. This is why Iran would like to keep the door open.
  • Nevertheless, India needs to improve its implementation record of infrastructure projects that it has taken up in its neighbourhood.
  • There are numerous tales of Indian cooperation projects in Nepal, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Myanmar,etc suffering delays and cost overruns that only make it easier for China to expand its footprint in India’s neighbourhood.
  • The key is to continue to remain politically engaged with Iran so that there is a better appreciation of each other’s sensitivities and compulsions.

Source:”The Hindu”.

POSSIBLE UPSC CSE MAINS QUESTION:

Due to various reasons India has not been able to fulfil its projects in Iran. Has this led to a new low in India – Iran relationship? Discuss.